Photovoltaic power generation will continue to grow steadily in the future

According to data released by the National Energy Administration recently, in the first quarter of 2017, the country's photovoltaic power generation maintained a relatively fast growth, with new installed capacity reaching 7.21 million kilowatts, which was basically the same as in the same period of 2016. Among them, the centralized installed capacity of photovoltaic power plants was 4.78 million kilowatts, down 23% year-on-year; the installed capacity of distributed photovoltaics was 2.43 million kilowatts, an increase of 151%. The newly installed capacity shows the trend of decentralized photovoltaic power plants and distributed photovoltaic power generation. How to treat the development of photovoltaic power generation in the first quarter? What are the characteristics of the future development of photovoltaic power generation? The China Economic Times reporter interviewed some insiders.
In the first quarter of distributed photovoltaic power generation , what are the reasons for the rapid growth of photovoltaic power generation in China?
“In the first quarter, the country’s photovoltaic power generation grew rapidly. On the one hand, it was affected by the '630’ rush. In order to obtain higher profits, power station investors concentrated in the first and second quarters; on the other hand, they were affected by distributed policies. The use of distributed distribution is enhanced, and distributed PV is developing rapidly.” Yang Liyou, general manager of Jinneng Technology, said.
In the view of Wang Hong, the president of Dongfang Risheng, the "630" grab is definitely a reason that cannot be ignored. At the same time, in the first quarter, the national total electricity consumption reached 1.45 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 6.9%, which is one of the reasons for the rapid growth of photovoltaic power generation in the first quarter.
Wang Chuanbang, president of Zhengxin Optoelectronics Co., believes that the orderly advancement of the front-runner project, the strong support of industrial policies for distributed photovoltaic projects, and the continuous improvement of the company's technical strength are the reasons for the rapid growth of PV installations in the first quarter. Especially in the past year, China's distributed PV installed capacity has shown a substantial increase.
"According to the '13th Five-Year Plan', China will vigorously promote rooftop distributed photovoltaic power generation. By 2020, 100 distributed photovoltaic application demonstration zones will be built, 80% of new building roofs and 50% of existing building roofs in the park. Installation of photovoltaic power generation. It can be seen that China's distributed PV growth potential is unlimited in the future, and it is expected to continue to promote the steady development of China's photovoltaic industry." Wang Chuanbang said.
The measures taken by the National Energy Administration to improve light abandonment show that in the first quarter, photovoltaic power generation was 21.4 billion kWh, an increase of 80% year-on-year. The national abandoned light limit is about 2.3 billion kWh. The light-receiving rate in Ningxia and Gansu decreased drastically by 10% and 19% respectively, which was about 10 and 20 percentage points lower than that of the same period of last year. The light-receiving rate of Qinghai, Shaanxi and Inner Mongolia increased by 9 respectively. %, 11%, 8%; Xinjiang (including the Corps) abandoned light rate is still as high as 39%.
According to Wang Hong, after the phenomenon of abandoned light, the market, government, and enterprises are looking for new ways and means to make the photovoltaic industry develop healthily, mainly to develop distributed photovoltaics. In addition, the government is constantly introducing relevant policies to protect the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry; companies are also pursuing low-cost technology to add value to the photovoltaic industry's affordable Internet access.
“The adjustment of the policy has guided the market: the price of photovoltaic power grids has been lowered, and the approval of PV power plants in the abandoned areas has been more stringent, which has effectively guided the investment direction. In the future, some UHV lines of power grid companies will be built, and photovoltaics in the abandoned areas can be Power generation will be transported to the eastern region to promote the energy consumption of new energy. With the development of energy storage technology, the peaking capacity of the power grid will gradually increase, and the proportion of clean energy power generation in power consumption will gradually expand, which will also promote the phenomenon of light abandonment. Improve." Yang Liyou said.
Wang Chuanbang believes that in order to solve the problem of light abandonment from the source, the Chinese government has taken measures to achieve a significant decline in the rate of light rejection, including the construction of cross-regional inter-provincial transmission channels, prioritizing the allocation of new energy sources; Optimize the layout, reserve the delivery channel project; increase the investment in urban and rural distribution network construction, speed up the upgrading and transformation, and meet the measures of distributed energy access. “Enterprises should actively cooperate with national policies and encourage industrial and commercial enterprises and home users with suitable roof resources to install rooftop distributed power generation systems as an effective measure to alleviate the problem of light abandonment and further promote the rapid development of distributed systems.”
Will the PV industry integrate or accelerate the "630" rush to install the impact of the PV market in the second half? How to look at the PV market in the second half of the year? In Wang Hong's view, an industry that grows healthily will certainly experience a period of pain. This is also the only way for the entire industry to break into a butterfly. Although it is more painful, it is also positive. The impact of “630” on the PV market in the second half of the year will be, but the degree is determined by the company's response measures.
"In the second half of the photovoltaic market, high-efficiency, low-cost products will be more favored by the market, which is why more and more companies, as well as our Oriental Sunrise, are more focused on product research and development." Wang Hong said.
Yang Liyou believes that after the "630" is rushed, China's PV market will experience weak cyclical demand and the industry will enter an integration period. "With the continuous reduction of the price of photovoltaic Internet access and the trial of the green card system, the demand for affordable high-power products is increasing in the market, and the current repetitive capacity and backward production capacity are more. In the integration period, these backward production capacity will be Enterprises that will be eliminated and able to continue to develop and provide affordable, efficient and ultra-efficient products will win."
Wang Chuanbang believes that with the continuous improvement of technology and the acceleration of industrial transformation and upgrading, the photovoltaic industry will continue to maintain steady growth in the second half of the year. In terms of products, more efficient and reliable photovoltaic power generation products will remain the mainstream of industrial applications.

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