According to foreign media reports, Intel and co-founder Gorden Moore, who is a scientist and entrepreneur, recently accepted an exclusive interview with The New York Times and expressed his views on the 50th anniversary of Moore's Law. He said that he was also surprised by the accuracy of Moore's Law. I did not expect this prediction to withstand the test of 50 years.
Moore: I am surprised that Moore's Law can be applied for 50 years.
Moore's initial forecast said that the number of transistors per chip per unit area could double every year. In 1975, this progress was slightly slowed down. To this end, Moore adjusted his prediction that the number of transistors per chip per unit area would double every two years. Moore's Law promotes the development of the entire technology industry and helps engineers continue to optimize electronic products. "I didn't think of it at the time, it would be a relatively accurate prediction," Moore said in an interview. He pointed out that if you want to continue to apply this theory, you need to "pay a lot of effort in industrial technology."
Although Moore's Law has withstood the test of time, Moore is still modest. He said that in the first 20 years, he was ashamed to use the term "Moore's Law." However, after a period of time, he has been able to use the term straightforwardly. When asked what he learned from Moore's Law, Gordon Moore said humorously, "One thing I learned should be that if you predict success once, then it is best not to predict anything. ."
Moore believes that Moore's Law will not last forever, but if good engineering techniques are applied, then Moore's Law can still last for 5 to 10 years. He said that he did not want the industry to be deadlocked. Many people have predicted decades ago that the industry is about to stop. Moore said: "I have not seen any other area to maintain exponential growth for such a long time."
Moore also said: "I hope that I can see the application of Moore's Law earlier. For me, the development of the Internet is amazing. I did not realize that this will bring a new opportunity. The world. We are just getting started with what computers can do for us. The same is true for the development of machine intelligence. Such development is incremental, and I never imagined that I would see driverless cars on the highway."
Moore pointed out that he could not predict the future of social networks, nor could he predict the capabilities of other software such as Google Earth. He said, "The importance of the Internet is very surprising to me." He said. “In my opinion, the Internet would only become a secondary communication network to solve specific problems,â€
Moore also revealed that he is currently interested in cutting-edge technology such as robots, and his grandson is working in this industry.
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